Tuesday, November 20, 2007

Qualification Scenarios

Including co-hosts Austria and Switzerland, 12 teams have qualified for next summer's European Championship. Poland, Italy, France, Greece, the Czech Republic, Germany, Croatia, Spain, Romania and the Netherlands have all booked their tickets for the 2008 tournament.

That leaves four tightly contested spots up for grabs:

Group A:

Second-place Portugal can wrap up a spot with a win or draw in their final match vs. Finland. The Finns, who have never qualified for a major tournament, will go through if they beat Portugal and Serbia drop points in either of their remaining matches vs. Poland and Kazakhstan.

Portugal (home v. Finland, Nov. 21) - Win = Qualification
Finland (away v. Portugal, Nov. 21) - Win + Serbia Loss or Draw in either game = Qualification
Serbia (home v. Poland, Nov. 21; home v. Kazakhstan, Nov. 24) - 2 Wins + Portugal Loss = Qualification

Group C

Turkey need a win at home against Bosnia-Herzegovina in order to qualify or a draw combined with Norway dropping points. Norway will go through with a win away to Malta combined with a Turkey draw or loss.

Turkey (home v. Bosnia-Herzegovina, Nov. 21) - Win or Draw + Norway Loss or Draw or Loss + Norway Loss = Qualification
Norway (away v. Malta, Nov. 21) - Win + Turkey Loss or Draw = Qualification

Group E

England require only a win or draw to ensure qualification. Russia, after their loss to Israel on the weekend, need to win against Andorra and hope Croatia beat England to go through.

England (home v. Croatia, Nov. 21) - Win or Draw = Qualification
Russia (away v. Andorra, Nov. 21) - Win + England Loss = Qualification

Group F

Sweden simply need to draw with Latvia at home to see themselves through, whereas Northern Ireland will hope the for a Sweden loss to go along with a victory against first-placed Spain in Las Palmas to make it to Austria-Switzerland.

Sweden (home v. Latvia, Nov. 21) - Win or Draw = Qualification
Northern Ireland (away v. Spain, Nov. 21) - Win + Sweden Loss = Qualification

These scenarios should make for some fantastic contests to watch tomorrow.

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